Game Of Thrones Betting Website
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As one of the most popular series of this millennia, Game of Thrones has quickly become a betting standby. One of the best sites to wager on all the twists and turns taking place in Westeros is BetOnline. This online sportsbook has one of the most comprehensive collections of entertainment betting. .Warning: Major spoilers ahead for Games of Thrones Season 8, Episode 6. “When you bet the Game of Thrones, you make a profit or you lose.” And if you’re right, how much profit often depends on when you placed a bet. A majority of bettors at offshore political betting sites.
This post contains spoilers.
Before the eighth and final season of Game of Thrones was released, it became a popular parlor game to try to guess who would finally sit on the Iron Throne, ruling the land of Westeros.
It turns out it was right there in front of us. We just had to follow the gamblers.
According to several betting sites, Bran Stark had by far the best chance of becoming ruler at the end of the show’s run. The popular MyBookie had Bran’s odds of ruling at -130 on March 31, 2019, the equivalent of a 57% chance (In betting terms, to win $10 you have to put $13 dollars on the line.)
At the start of the season, Bran becoming king would have been a surprise for many viewers. Major protagonists who had received more screen time, such as Jon Snow and Daenerys Targaryen, would have seemed more likely (they had the second and third best odds respectively). Bran did not even appear in the fifth season.
In early March 2019, Bran’s chances on betting markets were not so good. Betway had him at +1,400 odds, equivalent to a chance of less than 7%. Then a large number of bets were made on Bran, and the site chose to suspend betting on who would rule Westeros, as it found those bets suspicious.
The best explanation for the accurate odds on Bran was that the outcome was leaked. Before the season began, a Reddit user was able to describe the ending in almost exact detail. This another argument against allowing people to gamble on an outcome already known to some people, like the results of a TV show. It is an unusually easy opportunity for insiders to make money at the expense of a less-knowledgable general public.
With just one episode of Game of Thrones left in the show’s eighth and final season, fans are making their final predictions on who lives, who dies and who will sit on the Seven Kingdoms’ hotly contested Iron Throne — and they’re putting their money down quite literally. (Let’s hope it’s a better investment than Cersei’s decision to shell out for the Golden Company.)
Paddy Power, an online betting site in the U.K., calculated the updated odds on a future ruler — or rulers! — of Westeros and survival rates for the rest of the Thrones cast following the penultimate episode. Things have certainly changed for Daenerys Targaryen, Mother of Dragons, following her fiery rampage at King’s Landing: she’s now by far the favorite to die according to popular opinion on Paddy Power, with 1/4 odds for her death, which comes to about 80%.
Of the other still-living fan favorites, Jon Snow has 5/4 odds to die, 4/7 to live; Tyrion Lannister is 6/4 to die, 1/2 to live; and Arya Stark is 5/2 to die, 1/4 to live, making her survival exactly opposite of Dany’s projected death.
As for the final ruler of the Seven Kingdoms? Paddy Power players seem to think Bran Stark will take the crown, with 5/4 odds. He’s followed by his sister Sansa Stark at 5/2 odds, Jon Snow at 4/1, Arya Stark at 6/1 and no one at all with 8/1 odds. (At the very bottom of the list, with 400/1 odds, is good old Hot Pie.)
The final episode of Game of Thrones airs on HBO at 9 p.m. on May 19, at which point we’ll know which bets were dead on, and which were just dead. Because after all, when you play the game of thrones, you win or you die.
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