• Soccer Moneyline Vs Spread
• Point Spread To Moneyline Chart
• Moneyline Betting Strategy

Moneyline: Patriots (+150) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-175) The moneyline in this instance should, above all, should appeal to anyone who believes the Patriots are going to win. Underdogs always payout more than 1-to-1 (New England is 1.5-to-1 here) while all point-spread bets typically return -110.

• Spread betting is any of various types of wagering on the outcome of an event where the pay-off is based on the accuracy of the wager, rather than a simple 'win or lose' outcome, such as fixed-odds (or money-line) betting or parimutuel betting. A spread is a range of outcomes and the bet is whether the outcome will be above or below the spread. Spread betting has been a major growth market in.
• If you are at all familiar with sports betting, you will know that there is a stark difference between moneyline and point spread bets. Although both of these bets are placed on the outcome of a game, one is focused simply on the end result, whereas the other measure the degree of success.

With the AFC and NFC Championship games slated for Sunday, the 2020 NFL season has reached its final two matchups before Super Bowl Sunday. It’s the second-biggest stage in the sport, and it has already generated a ton of betting activity. Bettors will be looking back at the 19 weeks that led up to this final four weekend, looking for any angles they can find against the spread, on the moneyline, or on the over/under totals.

Every week, this column provides a detailed breakdown of our favorite bets, weaving in a preview of exclusive data from BetQL. This compilation serves as a mere sneak preview of all that BetQL offers. Check us out now to reveal our full betting predictions for every game of the conference championship round, including projections and best bet ratings from our NFL Best Bet Model.

All data presented is as of Friday morning. You can track all NFL line movement on BetQL’s Line Movement Dashboard.

CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP DFS: Top values FanDuel DraftKings

Conference Championship Betting Picks: Spread pick of the week

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5) at Green Bay Packers

My favorite spread play of the week would be to buy a half-point and take the Bills +3.5 at Kansas City, but if I have to take a spread at its current position, I feel compelled to go against 65 percent of sharp bettors and go with Tom Brady and the Buccaneers getting +3.5 in Green Bay.

Soccer Moneyline Vs Spread

My longtime friend Steve has been a loyal Tampa Bay fan for 20-plus years, and he hates this pick because of the Bucs’ dismal track record. “They’re going to get beat bad this weekend,” Steve said. “That’s what they do.”

Point Spread To Moneyline Chart

But they haven’t had the greatest and most clutch quarterback of all-time under center until this season. Don’t get me wrong, I’ve never been a huge Tom Brady fanboy despite my New England lineage, but I do recognize his contributions to the Patriots’ dynasties, and to the NFL as a whole. The man never gets flustered on the biggest stages. He competes until the very end.

The Bucs may not win Sunday, but I simply do not see them losing by more than a field goal. They forced four turnovers and held Drew Brees and the Saints to 294 total yards (190 passing) in their 30-20 divisional-round victory. They put up 507 offensive yards (365 passing) against a good Washington defense one week prior, good for a 31-23 wild card win. Brady has thrown 16 touchdowns and just one interception over the course of Tampa’s past six games.

Let’s also not forget that the Packers fell to the Bucs 38-10 in the first Battle of the Bays this season in Week 6. Brady went 17-of-27 for 166 yards and two TDs that week, finishing with a 104.9 QB rating. Tampa logged five sacks for 53 yards and forced Packers QB Aaron Rodgers to throw two interceptions. Pack running back Aaron Jones managed just 15 yards on 10 carries. Green Bay scored only one touchdown in the loss.

That game was obviously an outlier in Rodgers’ fantastic season, for which he will likely garner MVP honors. However, Rodgers has had his fair share of struggles in big moments, particularly in the postseason. Will All-Pro wideout Davante Adams once again be stymied by Tampa’s underrated secondary? Will the Bucs’ defensive line disrupt Rodgers in the pocket? Will Devin White maintain his borderline-inhuman rate of productivity? These are all distinct possibilities.

BetQL’s NFL Best Bet Model puts three stars on the Bucs covering the 3.5 points. It also points out an interesting trend: Tampa Bay has gone 7-1 against defensive units allowing over 5.6 yards per play this season. Green Bay has allowed just over 5.5 yards per play in 2020.

Ultimately, I have the Packers winning 27-24, but it will be a wild ride to the finish line and nobody will be breathing easy until the final whistle.

Conference Championship Betting Picks: Moneyline pick of the week

Kansas City Chiefs (-170) vs. Buffalo Bills

It’s so difficult to pick against the Buffalo, who I have touted as a breakout contender since before this crazy season started. Josh Allen has grown by leaps and bounds in front of all of our eyes and is on a collision-course with history in a fantastic run of prime-time conquests. But alas, he’s not Patrick Mahomes, and the Bills just do not measure up to the dominating depth chart of the defending champions.

If Mahomes clears the concussion protocol and plays Sunday, it’s simply impossible to pick against Kansas City on the moneyline. The question marks around the health of the reigning Super Bowl MVP are the only reason these odds are so good. Otherwise, we would likely be seeing KC +170 instead of -170.

Winners make winning plays, and Mahomes has proved time and time again that he’s the best in the NFL on the big stage. The Chiefs finished the regular season with the best record, somehow improving upon its 2019 offense. Kansas City also greatly benefited from the hire of Steve Spagnuolo as defensive coordinator. The Chiefs cracked the top 10 in fewest points allowed this season and finished fifth in the NFL in interceptions.

The majestic union of Allen and star Bills wide receiver Stefon Diggs has been a fantastic story this season, and they are undoubtedly going to be wreaking havoc on the league for years to come. That said, Kansas City has far too many playmakers, including the always-explosive wideout Tyreek Hill and perhaps the best pass-catching tight end ever in Travis Kelce. The Bills will soon get their time in the sun, but I just don’t think it’s this year.

Conference Championship Betting Picks: Over/under pick of the week

Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: OVER 51.5

BetQL likes the Bills-Chiefs game to go UNDER 54 points, but let’s face it: It’s more fun to bet on the OVER in the playoffs. Thus, we are rooting for a barnburner in the Rodgers-Brady showdown on Sunday afternoon.

Statistics are on our side here. The Buccaneers have scored at least 30 points in their past five contests and hit 44 twice in that span. Green Bay has hit 30-plus in seven of its past eight games, while reaching 40 twice. The Bucs are the third-highest scoring team in the NFL with the seventh-most yards on the season. The Pack are the top-scoring team in the NFL and produced the fifth-most yards.

These defenses have both been good this season, but their quarterbacks have been better. This will be a battle of two cagey veterans, and it seems highly unlikely that either will let it become a defensive slugfest. There’s always a risk going with the crowd -- 79 percent of sharp money is on the OVER in this one -- but investing in the points potential of two future first-ballot Hall-of-Fame QBs seems smart to me.

For more betting analysis and information, head over to BetQL and check out our model’s best bets, sharp data, and much more for every playoff game! You can find all updated NFL lines, spreads, and odds at BetQL!

One of the most common types of sports betting lines when wagering on a game is the moneyline. You will see moneyline odds for every game and every sport played for the most part. While some games that have a very large spread but stray away from offering a moneyline, it is still one of the most popular styles of betting. A moneyline is a type of straight wager where the bettor wagers simply on who will win the contest, straight up – without any spread involved.

The easiest way to think of moneyline betting odds is that you are only betting on who wins the game. It does not matter how many points or goals they win by, all that matters is who wins. If you see a - (negative) symbol then that team is the favorite and the team with the + (plus) sign is the underdog. Keep reading below to understand how moneyline odds work or visit the homepage of ExplainBettingOdds.com to read about odds in general.

Understanding How Moneyline Betting Odds Work

The moneyline is used exactly the same no matter what sport you are betting on. All you must do is select who you believe will with the matchup without any other thought behind you. By taking the favorite, a bettor would have to risk more money than what their expected return would be. Because there is no point spread involved to handicap the game, the oddsmakers and books handicap the payouts to ensure their book stays balanced. Betting on the underdog will result in a much better payout, as the oddsmakers have deemed this team less likely to lose. As you take action on either the favorite or the underdog and select the moneyline, a ratio of $100 is used to represent the payouts.

Seems pretty easy right?

Well, it's definitely easier than betting the point spread, in which a team has to cover a spread installed for a match up however you should know that moneyline wagers do not payout the same as a wager against the spread. Keep reading to learn more about payouts when betting on the moneyline.

Understanding Payouts When Betting On The Moneyline

The biggest differences on the moneyline though, aside from no point spread, is the payout. The idea behind a point spread is to bring the two teams in a match up to a more even playing field. If a team is better than the other, the points given by the favorite brings the underdog to a more even field. That is not the case on the moneyline.

Simply put, you will have to risk a whole lot more money on a favorite to profit. On the flip side though, if you bet on the underdog, the potential profit is a lot bigger on the moneyline than betting on the point spread. That is because the likelihood of the underdog winning is slim on the moneyline.

Explanation Of How Moneylines Work In MLB

• Atlanta Braves -300
• Philadelphia Phillies +200

This is an example of a moneyline you could see in Major League Baseball. The Braves are matching up with the Phillies, with Atlanta set as the favorite. You can tell Atlanta is the favorite because of the minus symbol. It is indicative of the amount that must be risked to return a profit. At -300, a $1 profit is made for every $3 risked on the Braves to win the game. On the other side, at +200, that is the same as saying 2/1. That means, for every $1 risked on Philadelphia to win the game, a $2 profit is returned. Moneylines are simply straight-up betting lines with no spread involved, which is why they can range quite significantly.

Article: How To Read MLB Betting Odds

Understanding The Moneyline In Football

• Denver Broncos -300
• Jacksonville Jaguars +300

Here in this example, the Broncos have been set in the role of the favorite, going off at -300 on the betting line. That means, for every $3 risked on Denver to win, a $1 profit is returned. So if you wager $30 on Denver to win, you stand to win $10. On the flip side, the Jaguars are set as a +300 underdog. That means for every $1 risked on Jacksonville, a $3 profit is returned. So if you were to wager $10 on Jacksonville to win, you would profit $30. So you can certainly see the disparity on the payout and why someone might want to take the Jaguars over the Broncos. Also, taking underdog moneylines in parlay bets can be huge for your payouts!

Article: How To Read College Football Betting Odds - How To Read NFL Betting Odds

Understanding The Moneyline Odds In The NBA

• Los Angeles Lakers +200
• Miami Heat -200

Here in this moneyline example for the NBA, the Lakers are matching up with the Heat. Miami has been set in the role of the betting favorite, going off at -200 on the betting line. As such, a $2 wager is needed to profit $1. So if you were to wager $200 on Miami, as $100 profit is returned if the bet is won. On the other side of the equation, the Lakers are in the underdog role. at +200, that is the same as 2/1. So, for every $1 risked on L.A to win, a $2 profit is returned. You can see a wide range of profits for a moneyline, because the underdog and favorite can be far apart straight up with no point spread.

Article: How To Read NBA Betting Odds

Bovada Sportsbook - Best Sports Betting Site For Betting On The Moneyline

Moneylines are one of the most popular bets that players get involved in. There are always teams that are expected to beat other teams. The margin of victory may be pretty wide. The big thing that sticks out here is how big of a favorite some teams are.

There plenty of moneylines that might show a team being a heavy favorite and if players bet against them, that is a very huge profitable opportunity. Upsets are always going to happen so this is where a lot of bread can be won. There are also toss-up games as well that many players take a stab at as well and end up cashing big on Bovada. This is the place to get when it comes to Moneyline bets regardless if its blowouts or close games.

BetOnline Sportsbook - Best Sportsbook With Great Moneylines

It's clear that BetOnline is one of the best sportsbooks for players and the moneylines that are offered are one of the main reasons why. There is news coming out all the time about teams prior to games and as soon as news drop that effects a team, it also affects the Moneyline on BetOnline.

This is what gives BetOnline a bonus over other sportsbooks because of the consistent update of Moneyline and always moving. Place your bet early could also be a great idea because of the news that could swing later on that week or day before matchup. BetOnline has it set up to where if any changes need to have done that is possible.

SportsBetting's Sportsbook - Lots Of Betting Odds When Betting On Moneylines

There are a number of things that SportsBetting sportsbook offers that makes it one of the better online sportsbooks for players. When it comes to picking some of these games with favorable matchups, the Moneyline does really determine how much players want to put down on these games. Most of the time, these games have the favorite that doesn’t really see players win a lot unless they put a lot of money down. When it comes to upsets, however, this is where players can have their lives change by just one pick.

Players with SportsBetting account have seen the Moneyline and have taken advantage of that the line because of the possible big payout. When you see a team like the Lions be underdogs against the Arizona Cardinals pull out the victory, only one thing is happening and that is big money is being handed out to all the players who took the chance on SportsBettting.

MyBookie Sportsbook - Money Line On MyBookie One of The Best

It is hard to find any sportsbook that has better moneylines that MyBookie. The way Moneyline works is very simple and most of the time it changes depending on what players are playing and are not. This often changes and sometimes in the favor of a player's bet. MyBookie is known for having a lot of people cash big when picking the Moneyline and the reason why is simple, their lines are better.

See the underdog betting like at (+115) is not bad but MyBookie will have that same under down with a Moneyline of (+130) which would win players more money if they were to bet on that underdog team. This is why shopping for lines is so important for all players. You can like a team to win a game and have decided you want to place a wager on them but once shopping around for lines, there is a big chance that you will find that MyBookie has the best moneylines.

Moneyline Betting Strategy